In a year of slippery markets, the tape proved surprisingly sticky. Of course, the indices lost ground last week, with the S&P 500 slipping 3.4% exactly from the perch that skeptics would have bet, the level just above 4000 that marked the unseen but so far impenetrable from January 3rd. market peak. Still, where it …
Assess the risk/reward for the market through 2023, even if a recession awaits us Read More »
Wholesale prices in November may have been slightly warmer than expected, but next week’s look at consumer prices is one that could solidify the Federal Reserve’s next interest rate decision. Ultimately, we think November’s consumer price index (CPI) carries more weight with the market and the Fed than Friday’s wholesale numbers, known officially as the …
Costco’s Inflation Signals Keep Us From Overreacting to Rising Producer Prices Read More »
Hong Kong movers: Real estate and tech stocks rise as optimism reopens CNBC Pro: Wall Street says a recession is coming. An investment pro names her favorite stocks to resist Wall Street pros are increasingly sounding the alarm about an impending recession. As economic growth slows and inflation stays high for longer, how should investors …
Costco Wholesale (COST) reported mixed first-quarter fiscal results after the closing bell on Thursday amid weaker consumer demand. But the Club continues to see the fundamentals of the business as strong and is encouraged by the planned rise in membership fees and the bulk retailer’s special dividend. Total revenue, which includes dues revenue, rose 8% …
Costco reports a mixed quarter, but we see positive catalysts on the horizon Read More »
Fitch expects house prices in Australia and China to fall in 2023 Fitch Ratings expects house prices in Australia to fall significantly by 7% to 10% next year, it said in its latest outlook report. The agency also predicts that house prices in China will fall by 1% to 3% next year. “We expect prices …
Just in case there is any lingering doubt, the bond market is now pricing in the near certainty of a Federal Reserve-induced recession that is already here or on the way shortly. The three-month Treasury yield now sits some 86 basis points ahead of the 10-year yield, a level not seen since at least the …
Markets brace for a ‘Powell recession’ that could soon arrive Read More »
China’s exports and imports fall more than expected China’s dollar-denominated exports fell 8.7% in November on an annualized basis, down more than expected from a 3.5% drop, analysts said in a Reuters poll. U.S. dollar imports also fell 10.6% for the month from a year ago, beating the drop of 6% expected in a separate …
China expects further drop in exports and imports China’s trade data for November is expected to show a further decline in both exports and imports, according to a Reuters poll of economists. Exports are expected to fall 3.5% in November on an annualized basis after falling 0.3% in October, and imports are expected to fall …
Asian markets trade mixed amid recession fears; China to release trade data Read More »
Seasonal trends are an often-discussed topic on Wall Street, especially at this time of year as the market approaches the so-called “Santa Gathering” window in late December. This year’s bear market certainly has investors hoping for a bit of holiday cheer. So we thought we’d take a look at what the Santa’s Rally phenomenon is …
Morgan Stanley overweight Chinese stocks Morgan Stanley strategists raised its recommendation for Chinese stocks to overweight, according to a Sunday note. The upgrade marks the end of the company’s equal weight position in Chinese stocks that it has held for nearly two years, strategists led by Laura Wang said. Morgan Stanley noted that several factors …
Hong Kong shares jump 3% as China relaxes some virus rules Read More »
